Fred Winter Hurdle

The last race on day one of the Cheltenham Festival is a bookie friendly handicap race for four year old hurdlers run over 2m 110 yards.

Fred Winter Trends

All five winners of this race were rated between 124 and 133

All five winners of this race did not win until their third start over hurdles or later

All five winners were by a Group One winning sire on the flat

Four of the last five winners won last time out


This race has tended to go the way of the bookies since its introduction in 2005 with 40/1, 20/1, 14/1 and 11/1 winners foiling some big gambles.

Only David Pipe's Gaspara has given the punters any relief when landing some big bets at 9/2 in 2007.

Fred Winter Analysis

The most interesting of the above stats is the fact that none of the five winners of this race had won until their third race over hurdles.


Failing to win until their third start meant that their original handicap mark gave plenty of scope for improvement.

In light of the above we would probably be able to narrow the field down considerably with the aid of our trends but as a general call for this race we should be looking for a juvenile that took a while to hit form but comes into the race on the back of a win.

Fred Winter Tips

Charlie Mann is keen on the chances of Fin Vin De Leu in this race and his second to Jonjo O'Neill's Open Day recently at Sandown looks very decent form.
Fin Vin De Leu then went to Warwick the following week and secured his place at the Festival with a very easy victory.
This son of Dr Fong fits all the trends for this race and his race at Sandown with Open Day could be a key trial that could well throw up the winner of this hotly contested Festival puzzle.

Back Fin Vin De Leu each-way at the best odds by clicking on the bookmaker logo by its name below

Fred Winter Odds

Full list of the runners and the best odds for the Fred Winter.

 

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