Neptune Novices Hurdleby Darren Brett
Formerly known as the Ballymore Properties Novice Hurdle and before that, the Royal and Sun Alliance Novices Hurdle this is a grade one race over 2miles 5 furlongs for novices.
Neptune Hurdle Trends
|10/10||were aged five or six|
|9/10||finished first or second last time out|
|9/10||started in the first six in the betting|
|9/10|| had NOT run at the Festival before|
|9/10||had already won over at least 2m 4f over hurdles|
|8/10|| finished first or second on all completed starts over hurdles|
|8/10||had contested pattern races|
|8/10||started career in Irish point-to-points or bumpers|
|8/10||had won at least 50% of all their runs over hurdles|
Neptune Novices Hurdle Trend Analysis
Looking at recent winners of this race, a five or six year old with recent good form and at odds of 20/1 or less is what we should be looking for. Easy!
This is a great race for trends lovers with only Massini Maguire's victory in 2007 going against the majority of the above trends.
We should be looking for a young hurdler who has already proved themselves in a good class race and has hopefully never finished outside of the first two placings in their races.
In addition to the above it is worth noting that the Challow Hurdle winner has a very poor record in this event.
Also that Irish hurdlers have won 50% of the last ten renewals.
Neptune Novice Hurdle Last Ten Winners
Table below shows the last ten winners of the race, their age at the time of winning, trainer, jockey and odds (starting price).
|2013||The New One||5yo||N Twiston-Davies||S Twiston-Davies||7/2|
|2012||Simonsig||6yo||N Henderson||B Geraghty||2/1F|
|2011||First Lieutenant||6yo||M Morris||D Russell||7/1|
|2010||Peddlers Cross||5yo||D McCain Jnr||J Maguire||7/1|
|2009||Mikael DHaguenet||5yo||W Mullins||R Walsh||5/2F|
|2008||Fiveforthree||6yo||W Mullins||R Walsh||7/1|
|2007||Massinis Maguire||6yo||P Hobbs||R Johnson||20/1|
|2006||Nicanor||5yo||N Meade||P Carberry||17/2|
|2005||No Refuge||5yo||JH Johnson||G Lee||17/2|
|N Twiston-Davies||C Llewelyn||12/1|
Neptune Novices Hurdle Tips
It may pay to stay away from horses who have been at the Festival before when looking for the winner of the Neptune - only one of the last ten winners had raced at the Festival before
- this is probably as this race tends to go to later maturing novices and is in stark contrast to a number of other races in Festival week.
Neptune Novices Hurdle Tip
Watch out for our tip for the 2014 Neptune Novices Hurdle nearer the race
Neptune Novices Hurdle Odds
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