A handicap chase over 2m 41/2 furlongs.
gave the Cheltenham Betting Guide one of our best ever returns in 2012
when we advised backing this well handicapped horse ante-post at 20/1!
Festival Plate Trends
|10/10||had won at Class Three or higher|
|9/10||had an official rating of 128-140|
|8/10||had between three and fifteen runs over fences||8/10||carried 10st 10lb or less|
|8/10||aged between six and nine|
|7/10||had run at a previous Cheltenham Festival|
|7/10||had run within the last forty days|
|7/10||recorded a top five finish in their most recent race|
Festival Plate Analysis
This race seems to have thrown up some quite concise trends and if you add into the mix that the Irish raiders have only won this race once since 1951
we could have very few contenders left once applying the statistics.
Yet again we see stats that throw up the need for carrying a weight in a handicap of under 11st
at the Cheltenham Festival.
Don't be afraid to take a chance on a bigger price selection or even split your stakes and back two in this race as the favourite has a poor record here with just two winning favourites since 1999!
Festival Plate Last Ten Winners
Table below shows the last ten winners of the race, their age and weight at the time of winning, trainer, jockey and odds (starting price).
|2014||Ballynagour||8-10-9||D Pipe||T Scudamore||12/1|
|2013||Carrickboy||9-10-5||Miss V Williams||L Treadwell||50/1|
|2012||Salut Flo||7-10-10||D Pipe||T Scudamore||9/2F|
|2011||Holmwood Legend||10-10-6||P Rodford||K Burke||25/1|
|2010||Great Endeavour||6-10-1||D Pipe||D Cook||18/1|
|2009||Something Wells||8-10-7||Miss V Williams||Mr W Biddick||33/1|
|2008||Mister McGoldrick||11-11-7||Mrs S Smith||D Elsworth||66/1|
|2007||Idole First||8-10-7||Miss V Williams||A OKeeffe||12/1|
|2006||Non So||8-11-3||N Henderson||M FItzgerald||14/1|
|2005||Liberthine||6-10-1||N Henderson||Mr S Waley-Cohen||25/1|
Festival Plate Preview
Three training yards have dominated this race recently with David Pipe, Nicky Henderson and Venetia Williams having eight wins between them in the last ten years!
It makes sense to assume that a race where a trainer has had previous success at the Festival will be targeted again in the future so make note of any entries from these three powerful yards.
Look out for horses who have run well at the Festival before
(or who have experienced the phenomenon) as they are usually equipped to run well there again.
With a 66/1, 50/1, 33/1 and two 25/1 winners in the last ten years in the Festival Plate it would seem that taking a speculative approach is the best policy to this race!
Festival Plate Tip