Fred Winter Hurdle

The Fred Winter Hurdle is a handicap race for four-year-old hurdlers run over 2m 110 yards where trainers can try and take advantage with a well handicapped horse. Can you spot the blot on the handicap?

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Fred Winter Hurdle Trends

8/9 were rated between 124 and 133
7/9did not win until their third start over hurdles or later
7/9 were by a Group One winning sire on the flat
5/9won last time out
5/9were set to carry a weight of at least 11-2
5/9were won by French bred horses

Fred Winter Analysis

The most interesting of the above stats is the fact that only two of the nine winners of this race had won until at least their third race over hurdles.

Failing to win until their third start meant that their original handicap mark gave plenty of scope for improvement.

The general call for this race we should be looking for a juvenile that took a while to hit form but comes into the race on the back of a win or an eye-catching run.

Fred Winter Hurdle Last Nine Winners

Table below shows the last nine winners of the race.
2013Flaxen Flare10-7G ElliottD Condon25/1
2012Une Artiste10-8N HendersonJ McGrath40/1
2011What A Charm10-6A MooreP Townend9/1
2010Sanctuaire11-9P NichollsR Walsh4/1F
2009Silk Affair10-4M QuinlanT OBrien11/1
2008Crack Away Jack11-10Miss E LavelleP Carberry14/1
2007Gaspara10-11D PipeA Glassonbury9/2JF
2006Shamayoun11-3C EgertonP Brennan40/1
2005Dabiroun11-4P NolanMiss N Carberry20/1

Fred Winter Hurdle Preview

It's well documented that Alan King does well with his juvenile hurdlers and whilst he is yet to win this race his runners remain of great interest.

King saddled the second, third and fifth from his three runners in 2011 and has placed five times from his nineteen starters since this race was introduced. A good return but the most eye-catching stat from those horses were their SPs; 50/1, 20/1, 16/1, 33/1 and 3/1.

So, keep a close eye on whatever Alan King runs in this race in 2014, particularly if his runners are an attractive price.

Fillies also have a great record in this race winning four of the nine renewals so do take note of any fillies taking part in 2014.

Fred Winter Hurdle Tips

Gary Moore traditionally does well with his juvenile hurdlers and he has previously had two horses placed in this race.

Moore runs VIOLET DANCER this year and as a half-brother to the stable’s decent hurdler Chris Pea Green, Violet Dancer certainly has the pedigree to make up into a smart horse.

A winner at Plumpton and Sandown on his first two starts, the Fred Winter was mentioned as a target from an early stage and it could be that his subsequent two defeats were due to connections trying to get a decent handicap mark for this race.

Moore stated early in the season that VIOLET DANCER had some filling out to do but the suggestion was that he may be able to compare favourably with Chris Pea Green in time. That horse is currently rated at 142 whereas VIOLET DANCER runs here off a mark of just 130.

If there is a close comparison to be drawn between the two horses then VIOLET DANCER could well turn out to be decently handicapped.

Back VIOLET DANCER at 33/1 each-way with Bet 365 best odds guaranteed and non-runner no bet

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Fred Winter Odds

Full list of the runners and the best odds for the Fred Winter.

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