Fred Winter Hurdle

The Fred Winter Hurdle is a handicap race for four-year-old hurdlers run over 2m 110 yards where trainers can try and take advantage with a well handicapped horse. Can you spot the blot on the handicap?

Back HOSTILE FIRE for the Fred Winter with betway

Fred Winter Hurdle Trends

9/10 were rated between 124 and 133
8/10 were by a Group One winning sire on the flat
8/10had run in the previous 25 days
7/10started career on the flat
7/10were having their fourth run over hurdles
7/10won on at least one of last two starts
7/10did not win until their third start over hurdles or later

Fred Winter Analysis

The most interesting of the above stats is the fact that only three of the ten winners of this race had won until at least their third race over hurdles.

Failing to win until their third start meant that their original handicap mark gave plenty of scope for improvement.

The general call for this race we should be looking for a juvenile that took a while to hit form but comes into the race on the back of a win or an eye-catching run.

Fred Winter Hurdle Last Ten Winners

Table below shows the last ten winners of the race.
2014Hawk High11-1T EasterbyB Hughes33/1
2013Flaxen Flare10-7G ElliottD Condon25/1
2012Une Artiste10-8N HendersonJ McGrath40/1
2011What A Charm10-6A MooreP Townend9/1
2010Sanctuaire11-9P NichollsR Walsh4/1F
2009Silk Affair10-4M QuinlanT OBrien11/1
2008Crack Away Jack11-10Miss E LavelleP Carberry14/1
2007Gaspara10-11D PipeA Glassonbury9/2JF
2006Shamayoun11-3C EgertonP Brennan40/1
2005Dabiroun11-4P NolanMiss N Carberry20/1

Fred Winter Hurdle Preview

Horses that started their career on the flat appear to have an advantage over their jumping counterparts with only three of the last ten winners starting off in bumpers or over hurdles.

Those runners who have started life on the flat have tended to have achieved a decent rating on the level with all of the winners who fit that criterion having achieved a mark of 79 or above.

Fillies also have a great record in this race winning four of the ten renewals from a very small percentage of the overall number of runners.

Certain trainers have obviously made a point of targeting this race with Paul Nicholls, David Pipe and Gordon Elliott all having excellent records.

Three trainers who have a surprisingly poor record in this race are Willie Mullins, Philip Hobbs and Venetia Williams.

Fred Winter Hurdle Tips

OLBG member Heaso thinks theat Gordon Elliott can improve his excellent recent record at the Festival with a winner in the Fred Winter:

"HOSTILE FIRE was a four time winner on the flat rated 81 and did all his winning on quick ground so he should improve for conditions at the Festival and the word is that Luke Dempsey, who has been in excellent recent form, is going to claim a further 5lbs off him, which would effectively bring him in here on a mark of 120 and give him a very handy weight of 10st 8lbs.
The yard won this a couple of years ago with Flaxen Flare and won the Triumph with Tiger Roll last year so know how to ready a juvenile for this meeting."

Back HOSTILE FIRE for the Fred Winter with betway

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